Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 213.519151 239.862250 268.959888 303.619839 343.956172 389.627717 445.550436
2025-03-09 173.114842 207.816668 249.462042 303.667103 373.157739 460.359933 579.842330
2025-03-16 148.018739 185.366858 232.655853 297.941572 387.364892 508.029998 687.555564
2025-03-23 132.662618 171.839840 223.634850 298.691574 407.379700 563.499969 813.362335
2025-03-30 118.751911 158.024699 211.784246 292.840141 415.786228 602.032559 919.709004
2025-04-06 108.952792 148.502663 204.354707 291.654467 429.858213 649.942812 1049.031095
2025-04-13 97.662869 135.620183 190.546154 278.883066 423.614028 663.678787 1121.755106
2025-04-20 93.863838 133.181968 191.711165 289.051595 455.187389 744.675176 1332.921717
2025-04-27 90.914491 131.648255 193.938845 300.929692 490.965465 838.695986 1591.908034
2025-05-04 85.910387 126.469135 189.866685 301.688404 507.020409 898.633278 1795.123172
2025-05-11 79.889964 119.191250 181.731868 294.479299 507.318531 927.677983 1936.772858
2025-05-18 74.775415 112.974945 174.798315 288.596377 509.208353 959.978252 2094.130829
2025-05-25 72.157237 110.739261 174.512575 295.015409 536.662636 1052.523306 2433.140450
2025-06-01 68.638031 106.758773 170.922245 294.947876 551.146164 1119.800023 2729.536883
2025-06-08 64.599649 101.603821 164.838345 289.428202 553.361194 1159.158184 2960.515648
2025-06-15 61.868932 98.494320 162.123524 290.151695 569.051919 1233.745076 3324.589024
2025-06-22 58.464914 93.984377 156.518571 284.505398 569.762893 1271.121075 3584.492312
2025-06-29 55.954386 90.890830 153.284796 283.361176 580.600019 1336.984051 3968.465410
2025-07-06 52.183572 85.324755 145.050628 271.033813 563.557637 1324.688096 4067.090550
2025-07-13 51.467177 85.233988 147.169074 280.849168 601.200250 1472.618165 4844.500582
2025-07-20 50.953168 85.470972 149.918657 292.311115 644.799706 1649.198759 5844.458729
2025-07-27 49.247157 83.380360 147.939506 293.043116 660.979824 1746.577403 6555.533145
2025-08-03 46.830038 79.816874 142.789451 286.087187 655.844538 1775.083607 6955.776739